Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 17.678478 20.138739 22.930197 26.355380 30.476986 35.317755 41.494269
2025-08-17 14.217727 17.236920 20.960149 25.967550 32.649295 41.442636 54.213908
2025-08-24 12.304585 15.534765 19.744213 25.773406 34.434073 46.839493 66.783442
2025-08-31 10.791803 14.041130 18.454868 25.090956 35.197127 50.714013 77.922715
2025-09-07 9.755357 13.020060 17.614760 24.821628 36.385254 55.309935 91.359529
2025-09-14 8.680488 11.807694 16.327839 23.651025 35.889607 56.967003 99.960336
2025-09-21 7.770035 10.735623 15.117813 22.412838 35.034717 57.757794 107.032047
2025-09-28 7.135567 10.010094 14.350552 21.773164 35.071901 60.127036 118.075227
2025-10-05 7.329802 10.548491 15.589697 24.618918 41.817759 76.987431 168.780734
2025-10-12 7.111016 10.416866 15.729090 25.563037 45.150448 87.749108 210.036902
2025-10-19 6.609945 9.790184 14.983106 24.798931 44.919090 90.480255 230.002665
2025-10-26 6.421855 9.657520 15.059818 25.575011 48.027465 101.946294 283.929532
2025-11-02 6.041361 9.192197 14.544061 25.202299 48.709905 107.918056 324.825424
2025-11-09 5.695650 8.762062 14.055840 24.831295 49.354377 114.093499 371.989053
2025-11-16 5.410967 8.414847 13.684746 24.648406 50.404667 121.782835 432.835788
2025-11-23 5.091740 7.985245 13.125468 24.004278 50.214108 125.760564 480.704256
2025-11-30 4.850421 7.677142 12.768325 23.749999 50.966098 133.007868 554.267931
2025-12-07 4.525496 7.200384 12.056011 22.644243 49.317811 131.867240 579.131937
2025-12-14 4.217489 6.738435 11.343462 21.473641 47.333526 129.105819 592.499179
2025-12-21 3.997495 6.425195 10.899959 20.868463 46.808326 131.458938 644.545954
2025-12-28 4.151658 6.805667 11.845688 23.558583 56.100606 174.741085 1100.810377
2026-01-04 4.101631 6.801094 12.017777 24.449871 60.391805 200.912433 1506.778897
2026-01-11 3.900318 6.497755 11.553532 23.728568 59.520449 203.711580 1653.605428